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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
77 games in scope · 13 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2–2 | 50.0% | −6.3 pp | ||
| 2 | 2–0 | 100.0% | +21.4 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | −4.5 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +47.1 pp |
Nocturne vs Xin Zhao
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.8 ppBelow the expected result
Observed50.0%
Expected56.3%
Modelled n4
Latest observed patch 16.16
Adjusted edge−8.3 ppn = 3
Reference 16.150.0 ppn = 1
Change−8.3 pp
Coverage · 4 / 4
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−873n = 4
XP @15−327n = 4
CS @15−5.0n = 4
Matchup edge across patches
vs Xin Zhao · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.15 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| 16.16 | 3 | −8.3 pp | −1.1 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −6.3 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.8 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −29.2 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −6.3 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 4.0 / 4
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff