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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
58 games in scope · 10 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0–3 | 0.0% | −19.0 pp | ||
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | +17.5 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Jarvan IV
VS
Regularized matchup edge−1.7 ppBelow the expected result
Observed0.0%
Expected19.0%
Modelled n3
Latest observed patch 16.15
Adjusted edge0.0 ppn = 1
Reference 16.14−28.6 ppn = 2
Change+28.6 pp
Coverage · 3 / 3
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−440n = 3
XP @15+543n = 3
CS @15+9.3n = 3
Matchup edge across patches
vs Jarvan IV · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.14 | 2 | −28.6 pp | −2.6 pp |
| 16.15 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −19.0 pp
- Regularized edge
- −1.7 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- —
- Equal-player edge
- −19.0 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 3.0 / 3
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff