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All champions
Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
153 games in scope · 21 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1–5 | 16.7% | −7.5 pp | ||
| 4 | 3–1 | 75.0% | +51.0 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +7.9 pp | ||
| 2 | 2–0 | 100.0% | +34.6 pp | ||
| 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | −26.5 pp |
Nocturne vs Lee Sin
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.7 ppBelow the expected result
Observed16.7%
Expected24.2%
Modelled n6
Latest observed patch 16.16
Adjusted edge−34.1 ppn = 2
Reference 16.15+20.6 ppn = 2
Change−54.7 pp
Coverage · 6 / 6
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−406n = 6
XP @15−512n = 6
CS @15−6.0n = 6
Matchup edge across patches
vs Lee Sin · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.14 | 2 | −9.1 pp | −0.8 pp |
| 16.15 | 2 | +20.6 pp | +1.9 pp |
| 16.16 | 2 | −34.1 pp | −3.1 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −7.5 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.7 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −18.2 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −9.5 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 4.9 / 6
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff