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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
112 games in scope · 13 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | −7.5 pp | ||
| 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Wukong
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.4 ppBelow the expected result
Observed50.0%
Expected57.5%
Modelled n2
Latest observed patch 16.15
Adjusted edge−40.0 ppn = 1
Reference 16.14+25.0 ppn = 1
Change−65.0 pp
Coverage · 2 / 2
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−1,117n = 1
XP @15−1,570n = 1
CS @15−24.0n = 1
Matchup edge across patches
vs Wukong · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.14 | 1 | +25.0 pp | +1.2 pp |
| 16.15 | 1 | −40.0 pp | −1.9 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −7.5 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.4 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −7.5 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −7.5 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 2.0 / 2
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff