Loading champion matchups…
All champions
Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
154 games in scope · 24 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5–1 | 83.3% | +25.7 pp | ||
| 4 | 2–2 | 50.0% | −24.2 pp | ||
| 4 | 3–1 | 75.0% | +10.8 pp | ||
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | −30.3 pp | ||
| 3 | 2–1 | 66.7% | +8.1 pp |
Nocturne vs Jarvan IV
VS
Regularized matchup edge+4.0 ppAbove the expected result
Observed83.3%
Expected57.6%
Modelled n6
Latest observed patch 16.16
Adjusted edge+21.7 ppn = 5
Reference 16.15+46.2 ppn = 1
Change−24.5 pp
Coverage · 6 / 6
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+81n = 6
XP @15−72n = 6
CS @15+2.5n = 6
Matchup edge across patches
vs Jarvan IV · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.15 | 1 | +46.2 pp | +2.2 pp |
| 16.16 | 5 | +21.7 pp | +4.3 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- +25.7 pp
- Regularized edge
- +4.0 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- +25.7 pp
- Equal-player edge
- +17.8 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 4.8 / 6
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff