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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
79 games in scope · 10 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2–1 | 66.7% | −1.0 pp | ||
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | +3.6 pp | ||
| 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | −31.4 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Jarvan IV
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.7 ppBelow the expected result
Observed66.7%
Expected67.6%
Modelled n3
Latest observed patch 16.15
Adjusted edge−21.4 ppn = 2
Reference 16.14+40.0 ppn = 1
Change−61.4 pp
Coverage · 3 / 3
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−184n = 3
XP @15+163n = 3
CS @15+6.7n = 3
Matchup edge across patches
vs Jarvan IV · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.14 | 1 | +40.0 pp | +1.9 pp |
| 16.15 | 2 | −21.4 pp | −1.9 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −1.0 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.7 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- +9.3 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −1.0 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 3.0 / 3
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff