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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
87 games in scope · 14 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | −23.3 pp | ||
| 2 | 2–0 | 100.0% | +61.5 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | −66.7 pp |
Nocturne vs Sejuani
VS
Regularized matchup edge−1.1 ppBelow the expected result
Observed33.3%
Expected56.7%
Modelled n3
Latest observed patch 16.15
Adjusted edge0.0 ppn = 1
Reference 16.14−50.0 ppn = 1
Change+50.0 pp
Coverage · 3 / 3
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+670n = 3
XP @15+639n = 3
CS @15+23.7n = 3
Matchup edge across patches
vs Sejuani · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.13 | 1 | −20.0 pp | −1.0 pp |
| 16.14 | 1 | −50.0 pp | −2.4 pp |
| 16.15 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −23.3 pp
- Regularized edge
- −1.1 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- —
- Equal-player edge
- −30.0 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 2.7 / 3
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff