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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
136 games in scope · 20 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1–3 | 25.0% | −14.3 pp | ||
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | −8.3 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +21.4 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +37.5 pp | ||
| 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | −6.3 pp |
Nocturne vs Jarvan IV
VS
Regularized matchup edge−1.3 ppBelow the expected result
Observed25.0%
Expected39.3%
Modelled n4
Latest observed patch 16.15
Adjusted edge−28.6 ppn = 1
Reference 16.14−9.5 ppn = 3
Change−19.0 pp
Coverage · 4 / 4
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−348n = 4
XP @15−297n = 4
CS @15−4.5n = 4
Matchup edge across patches
vs Jarvan IV · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.14 | 3 | −9.5 pp | −1.2 pp |
| 16.15 | 1 | −28.6 pp | −1.4 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −14.3 pp
- Regularized edge
- −1.3 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −14.3 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −7.1 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 3.6 / 4
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff