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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
90 games in scope · 16 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3–4 | 42.9% | +3.1 pp | ||
| 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | −33.3 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Wukong
VS
Regularized matchup edge+0.8 ppAbove the expected result
Observed42.9%
Expected39.8%
Modelled n7
Latest observed patch 16.17
Adjusted edge−14.3 ppn = 2
Reference 16.15+12.5 ppn = 4
Change−26.8 pp
Coverage · 7 / 7
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+733n = 7
XP @15+1,247n = 7
CS @15+30.3n = 7
Matchup edge across patches
vs Wukong · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.14 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| 16.15 | 4 | +12.5 pp | +2.1 pp |
| 16.17 | 2 | −14.3 pp | −1.3 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- +3.1 pp
- Regularized edge
- +0.8 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −0.5 pp
- Equal-player edge
- +8.2 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 6.3 / 7
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff