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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
46 games in scope · 10 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2–1 | 66.7% | +8.3 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | −10.0 pp | ||
| 2 | 2–0 | 100.0% | +5.3 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Xin Zhao
VS
Regularized matchup edge+0.8 ppAbove the expected result
Observed66.7%
Expected58.3%
Modelled n3
Latest observed patch 16.11
Adjusted edge0.0 ppn = 1
Reference 16.10+12.5 ppn = 2
Change−12.5 pp
Coverage · 3 / 3
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+421n = 2
XP @15+1,021n = 2
CS @15+16.5n = 2
Matchup edge across patches
vs Xin Zhao · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10 | 2 | +12.5 pp | +1.1 pp |
| 16.11 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- +8.3 pp
- Regularized edge
- +0.8 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- +6.3 pp
- Equal-player edge
- +8.3 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 3.0 / 3
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff