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All champions
Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
82 games in scope · 13 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2–2 | 50.0% | −7.2 pp | ||
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | −6.4 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | −33.3 pp |
Nocturne vs Pantheon
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.3 ppBelow the expected result
Observed50.0%
Expected57.2%
Modelled n4
Latest observed patch 16.10
Adjusted edge−33.3 ppn = 1
Reference 16.9+60.0 ppn = 1
Change−93.3 pp
Coverage · 4 / 4
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−500n = 3
XP @15+456n = 3
CS @15−10.3n = 3
Matchup edge across patches
vs Pantheon · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.7 | 1 | −55.6 pp | −2.6 pp |
| 16.8 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| 16.9 | 1 | +60.0 pp | +2.9 pp |
| 16.10 | 1 | −33.3 pp | −1.6 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −7.2 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.3 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −4.8 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −7.2 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 4.0 / 4
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff