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All champions
Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
216 games in scope · 39 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4–5 | 44.4% | +4.8 pp | ||
| 6 | 3–3 | 50.0% | −4.5 pp | ||
| 6 | 2–4 | 33.3% | −24.7 pp | ||
| 5 | 4–1 | 80.0% | +43.0 pp | ||
| 5 | 2–3 | 40.0% | −3.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Jarvan IV
VS
Regularized matchup edge+1.0 ppAbove the expected result
Observed44.4%
Expected39.7%
Modelled n9
Latest observed patch 16.10
Adjusted edge+17.6 ppn = 4
Reference 16.9−1.0 ppn = 2
Change+18.6 pp
Coverage · 9 / 9
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+217n = 9
XP @15−273n = 9
CS @15−1.1n = 9
Matchup edge across patches
vs Jarvan IV · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.6 | 1 | +9.1 pp | +0.4 pp |
| 16.7 | 2 | −17.2 pp | −1.6 pp |
| 16.9 | 2 | −1.0 pp | −0.1 pp |
| 16.10 | 4 | +17.6 pp | +2.9 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- +4.8 pp
- Regularized edge
- +1.0 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- +7.1 pp
- Equal-player edge
- +1.0 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 8.3 / 9
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff