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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
41 games in scope · 8 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +7.1 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +14.3 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Wukong
VS
Regularized matchup edge+0.3 ppAbove the expected result
Observed50.0%
Expected42.9%
Modelled n2
Latest observed patch 16.10
Adjusted edge+14.3 ppn = 1
Reference 16.90.0 ppn = 1
Change+14.3 pp
Coverage · 2 / 2
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15−33n = 2
XP @15+202n = 2
CS @15−2.0n = 2
Matchup edge across patches
vs Wukong · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.9 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| 16.10 | 1 | +14.3 pp | +0.7 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- +7.1 pp
- Regularized edge
- +0.3 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- +7.1 pp
- Equal-player edge
- +7.1 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 2.0 / 2
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff