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All champions
Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
105 games in scope · 16 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1–3 | 25.0% | −4.4 pp | ||
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | −6.7 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +30.0 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Pantheon
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.4 ppBelow the expected result
Observed25.0%
Expected29.4%
Modelled n4
Latest observed patch 16.9
Adjusted edge−14.3 ppn = 2
Reference 16.7+5.6 ppn = 2
Change−19.8 pp
Coverage · 4 / 4
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+185n = 4
XP @15+200n = 4
CS @15+6.8n = 4
Matchup edge across patches
vs Pantheon · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.7 | 2 | +5.6 pp | +0.5 pp |
| 16.9 | 2 | −14.3 pp | −1.3 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −4.4 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.4 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −4.4 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −4.4 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 4.0 / 4
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff