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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
98 games in scope · 17 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1–3 | 25.0% | −6.4 pp | ||
| 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | −33.3 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +0.9 pp | ||
| 2 | 0–2 | 0.0% | −16.7 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Xin Zhao
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.3 ppBelow the expected result
Observed25.0%
Expected31.4%
Modelled n4
Latest observed patch 16.10
Adjusted edge+14.3 ppn = 1
Reference 16.9−20.0 ppn = 1
Change+34.3 pp
Coverage · 4 / 4
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+118n = 4
XP @15−98n = 4
CS @15−3.8n = 4
Matchup edge across patches
vs Xin Zhao · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.7 | 1 | −20.0 pp | −1.0 pp |
| 16.8 | 1 | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| 16.9 | 1 | −20.0 pp | −1.0 pp |
| 16.10 | 1 | +14.3 pp | +0.7 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −6.4 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.3 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- —
- Equal-player edge
- −7.6 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 3.6 / 4
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff