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Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
55 games in scope · 8 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1–2 | 33.3% | +8.3 pp | ||
| 2 | 1–1 | 50.0% | +3.8 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | +20.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 0–1 | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | ||
| 1 | 1–0 | 100.0% | 0.0 pp |
Nocturne vs Xin Zhao
VS
Regularized matchup edge+1.1 ppAbove the expected result
Observed33.3%
Expected25.0%
Modelled n3
Latest observed patch 16.5
Adjusted edge+8.3 ppn = 3
Reference patch—Not selected
Change—
Coverage · 3 / 3
Limited sample · estimates are pulled toward the baseline.
Gold @15+131n = 3
XP @15−727n = 3
CS @15−5.0n = 3
Matchup edge across patches
vs Xin Zhao · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 3 | +8.3 pp | +1.1 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- +8.3 pp
- Regularized edge
- +1.1 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- 0.0 pp
- Equal-player edge
- 0.0 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 2.7 / 3
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff