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All champions
Nocturne
the Eternal Nightmare
Matchups · Read the opponent in context
7,856 games in scope · 1,040 Nocturne picks
Same-role opponents
Adjusted against each champion’s patch & role baseline
| Opponent | W–L | Across patches | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 141 | 65–76 | 46.1% | −1.9 ppn = 132 | ||
| 124 | 66–58 | 53.2% | −0.4 ppn = 118 | ||
| 119 | 55–64 | 46.2% | −4.5 ppn = 105 | ||
| 106 | 53–53 | 50.0% | −1.2 ppn = 98 | ||
| 96 | 46–50 | 47.9% | +1.3 ppn = 92 |
Nocturne vs Jarvan IV
VS
Regularized matchup edge−0.7 ppBelow the expected result
Modelled observed44.7%
Expected46.6%
Modelled n132
Latest observed patch 16.17
Adjusted edge+33.7 ppn = 5
Reference 16.16+10.8 ppn = 10
Change+22.8 pp
Coverage · 132 / 141
132 / 141 games with a baseline. Adjustments use this subset.
Gold @15+27n = 137
XP @15−78n = 128
CS @15+1.2n = 128
Matchup edge across patches
vs Jarvan IV · Same scope & role, all observed patches
RegularizedRaw edge
| Patch | Games | Raw edge | Regularized edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.13 | 9 | +8.9 pp | +2.8 pp |
| 16.14 | 8 | −0.8 pp | −0.2 pp |
| 16.15 | 16 | −2.3 pp | −1.0 pp |
| 16.16 | 10 | +10.8 pp | +3.6 pp |
| 16.17 | 5 | +33.7 pp | +6.7 pp |
Adjustment checks
- Patch-weighted edge
- −1.9 pp
- Regularized edge
- −0.7 pp
- 50/50 blue–red edge
- −2.4 pp
- Equal-player edge
- −1.0 pp
- Weight n_eff
- 111.6 / 132
Patch-weighted edge
Regularized edge
50/50 blue–red edge
Equal-player edge
Weight n_eff